Report
Patrick Artus

Does the ECB’s (and not just the Federal Reserve’s) monetary policy have international effects?

It is well known that US monetary policy has significant international effects. If the Federal Reserve switches to a more restrictive monetary policy (for example), capital is attracted to the United States from the euro zone and emerging countries (in particular), the dollar appreciates against the euro and emerging currencies. We seek to determine whether the same mechanisms can be observed when the ECB changes its monetary policy (interest rates, quantitative easing). We see: That US monetary policy has an effect on capital flows between the United States, the euro zone and emerging countries and on exchange rates against the dollar; But that euro-zone monetary policy, while having an effect on the dollar/euro exchange rate, has no visible effect on capital flows.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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