Does the Federal Reserve raise interest rates when stock market indices fall?
One obvious question in 2022 is whether the Federal Reserve may move to a more restrictive monetary policy if there is a downward correction in stock market indices. This leads us to look at its past behaviour with respect to share prices, from a descriptive view point and based on an econometric estimate of Fed Funds rate setting behaviour. We find that: The Federal Reserve has only once faced the problem of having to raise interest rates following a fall in share prices (in 2015-2016); Share price movements have no significant effect on Fed Funds rate setting behaviour. The Federal Reserve may therefore probably raise interest rates even if share prices have fallen.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis
Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.