Report
Patrick Artus

Each of the four largest euro-zone countries has serious structural problems

None of the four major euro-zone countries is immune to the presence of serious structural problems: Germany is suffering from the disappearance of the mercantilist model, which brought it growth, and from weak domestic demand; France is suffering from declining labour productivity, a low employment rate and, as a result, worsening public finances, and an inefficient education system; Spain is negatively affected by the decline in productivity, a low employment rate and an inefficient education system; as a result, the fairly strong growth seen in 2023 could only be transitory; Italy is suffering from a low employment rate, an inefficient education system and an extremely high fiscal deficit. These four countries will therefore have structurally weak growth: Some of them because of a lack of productivity gains (Germany, France, Spain ); All of them because of an inefficient education system (Germany, France, Spain, Italy ); Some of them because of a massive reduction in fiscal deficits to stabilise the public debt ratio (France, Italy ); Some of them because of a low employment rate and the effect this has on public finances (France, Spain, Italy ); Some of them because of their dependence on exports of goods (Germany).
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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