Report
Patrick Artus

ECB: Two possible and contradictory objectives regarding euro-zone banks

The ECB visibly wants to encourage banks to lend more. This is its first objective, leading it to put in place: Very low medium- and long-term interest rates to boost demand for credit; An incentive (a bonus clause) in very-long-term repos (TLTROs) to lend more; A p enalt y on excess reserves (now remunerated at -0.40%) over required reserves (now remunerated at 0%). But if the ECB had another objective (a second objective), namely to lift banks’ profitability in order to prevent their weakening from leading to a contraction in credit supply, it would have to conduct a different interest rate policy: Higher medium- and long-term interest rates to increase interest rate margins on loans; Less negative rates on deposits at the ECB (currently -0.40%); TLTROs at negative rates open to all banks, including struggling banks whose stock of loans is not increasing. By encourag ing euro-zone banks to lend, the ECB is taking the risk of further weakening them.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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