Report
Emilie TETARD ...
  • Florent Pochon

EQUITIES AND DOLLAR EXPOSURE

The US dollar (DXY index) just fell below 92 , its lowest level since the beginning of the Covid crisis. The downward trend began in the early summer of 2020 , as a result of the Fed's ultra-dove monetary policy and the country's twin deficits. We expect this trend to continue in 2021 , with many potential consequences that are detailed in our dedicated Cross-Expertise paper : Dollar : less bang for your buck In this report , we focus specifically on the dollar impact on sector ial and individual equity performance s . We conclude that the US tech sector, for example, is one of the main beneficiaries of a currency decline. To do so, w e propose a quantitative methodology to estimate exposure s to traditional macro factors . We use it to design equity portfolio s that are abl e to benefit from the dollar's decline or alternatively able to be neutral . Finally, for a non-resident investor wishing to gain exposure to US equities, the methodology allows to adapt the FX hedge to be put in place.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Emilie TETARD

Florent Pochon

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Benito Berber
  • Benito Berber

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