Euro zone: A cycle linked to wage formation?
We believe a cyclical slowdown linked to wage formation can be observed in the euro zone: The degree of nominal wage indexation to prices is low: any increase in inflation, in particular due to oil prices, reduce s real wages and therefore household demand; The degree of sensitivity of nominal wage growth to the unemployment rate is low or even zero: household demand is not being sustained by faster wage growth in the second half of the expansion cycle, unlike in the past.