Report
Patrick Artus

Euro-zone labour markets will be structurally disrupted by the COVID crisis

The COVID crisis will lead to permanent structural disruptions in euro-zone labour markets, given: The fact that the employees who are los ing their jobs are those who will find it most difficult to find another job (those with short-term employment contracts), which may lead to a lasting rise in unemployment (1) ; The fact that the loss of productivity that will result from the new health standards will be offset by increased corporate automation, and because automation destroys repetitive intermediate jobs (2) ; The significant disruption in the sectoral structure of economies, which will change the structure of jobs and the skills required (3) . See , for example , to illustrate these points: V. Gregory, G. Menzio, D.G. Wiczer (2020) "Pandemic Recession: L or V-Shaped?" NBER Working Paper no. 27105, May N. Jaimovich, I. Saporta-Eksten, H. SIU, Y. Yedid-Levi (2020) "The Macroeconomics of Automation: data, theory and policy analysis" NBER Working Paper no. 27122, May J.M. Barrero, N. Bloom, S. Davis (2020) "COVID-19 is Also a Reallocation Shock " NBER Working Paper no. 27137, May
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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