Report
Patrick Artus

Euro zone: The important stabilising effect of falling oil prices during crises

In all crises (2000-2001, 2008-2009, today with the coronavirus crisis), oil prices fall sharply. Today, oil prices have fallen drastically - the WTI oil price has even traded negative. It is important to note that this fall in oil prices has a clear stabilising effect on oil-importing countries (we look at the case of the euro zone). When we compare it with the effects of fiscal policy and monetary policy, we see that on average: The fall in oil prices (we look at the Brent oil price) accounts for 20% of the stabilisation; Expansionary monetary policy accounts for 30%; Expansionary fiscal policy accounts for 50%.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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