Report
Patrick Artus

Euro zone: What happens when bonds and money become perfectly substitutable?

In the euro zone, government bonds now offer a zero yield on average, they are considered risk-free and they are reasonabl y liquid. Bonds and money have therefore become highly substitutable. What happens when bonds and money become highly substitutable? Monetary policy and quantitative easing in particular become ineffective: this is because an expansionary monetary policy and quantitative easing consist in replacing bonds with money in economic agents’ portfolios, but holding money is equivalent to holding bonds ; Expansionary fiscal policies do not lead to crowding-out effects (higher long-term interest rates). This is because a fiscal deficit financed by government bond issuance requires economic agents to hold more bonds and less money , which requires an increase in interest rates if bonds and money are only imperfectly substitutable, but not if they are highly substitutable.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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