Report
Patrick Artus

France and Italy: Should the pre-euro model be missed?

Since the euro zone’s creation, France and Italy have faced very tight economic policy constraints: excessive growth in labour costs or insufficient savings to finance investment can no longer be corrected by devaluing the exchange rate; fiscal deficits are limited and cannot be monetised by the country’s central bank; interest rates are obviously those of the euro zone as a whole. So should their pre-euro economic model be missed? A comparison between the 1980s-90s and the 2000s-2010s with regard to: The evolution of purchasing power; Public spending and the tax burden; Real interest rates and investment; The evolution of cost competitiveness and market shares; Employment and unemployment, s hows that the Italians may have reason to miss the 1980s-90s but not the French.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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