Report
Patrick Artus

France and Italy: Why the asymmetry in the reaction to the increase in fiscal deficits?

France and Italy have chosen to boost household income through an increase in the ir fiscal deficit s . This has caused a sharp rise in long-term interest rates in Italy but not in France. Why? Because French potential growth is higher and will be increased by the country’s structural reforms? Yes; Because non-residents are buying bonds from the core euro-zone countries but not from the periphery? No; Because investors are switching from Germany to France? Yes; Because some of France’s fiscal deficit in 2019 is temporary and because fiscal solvency will be ensured in France in 2020 but not in Italy? Yes, maybe.
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Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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