Report
Patrick Artus

France: What would be the situation for pensioners if they had had pension funds since the early 1980s?

Pensions in France are managed almost entirely on a pay-as-you-go basis. The return on these pensions depends on growth. From 1982 to today, the real return on pay-as-you-go pensions has been 1.8% per year on average. If pensions in France had been managed on a funded basis, the French would have invested their savings in pension funds invested in equities and bonds. From 1982 to today, the real (inflation-adjusted) return on an equity portfolio has been 11.4% per year, that of a bond portfolio 6.1% per year. A 1 euro contribution (in 2019 euros) to the pension system in 1982 in France therefore currently corresponds to pension assets, still in 2019 euros, of: 1.93 euros for pay-as-you-go pensions ; 21.90 euros for funded pensions, assuming an investment 50% in bonds and 50% in equities. The cost of having had only pay-as-you-go pensions in France for 40 years is therefore considerable.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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