Report
Hadrien CAMATTE

French Municipal Elections: Key Takeaways

French municipal and community council elections took place on March 15 (first round) and 22 (second round). Although m unicipal elections in France are primarily driven by local issues with limited national resonance , some dynamics provide useful signals in the run-up to the presidential elections scheduled for April-May 2027 (see also French Municipal Elections on March 15th and 22nd: A Template for the Presidential Election? ). The results confirm: T he left's hold on major cities : The left, in various configurations, retains Paris, Marseille, Lyon, Lille, Nantes and Rennes. However, t he pattern is mixed when the Socialist Party fused with La France Insoumise . The National Rally captures Nice via its UDR ally Éric Ciotti and wins some second-tier cit ies. B ut it failed to win over big cities and cities outside the south-east and north-east corridor , demonstrating the enduring – albeit weaker than in the past – of the “republican front ” block ing it s progress . Édouard Philippe - first Prime Minister of President Macron between 2017 and 2020 and strongest candidate from the centrist bloc against the National Rally in the next presidential election, according to several polls - was re-elected mayor of Le Havre . His re-election places him in the strongest position within the Horizons/centre-right space. His trajectory now points to a formal entry into the presidential race by autumn 2026 .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Hadrien CAMATTE

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