Report
Patrick Artus

Full Democratic majority in the United States: What consequences?

The fact that the Democrats have (by a narrow margin) taken control of the US Senate has consequences that need to be analysed: A persistently expansionary fiscal policy, with sharp increases in public spending; Consequently, given the low national savings rate, a massive external deficit and a major accumulation of external debt; This major accumulation of external debt will lead both to a widening of the long-term yield spread between the United States and the euro zone and to a depreciation of the dollar against all currencies; the monetary policy stance will determine the breakdown between interest rate increases and exchange rate depreciation; The question for European investors is whether or not the yield spread in favour of Treasuries will offset the depreciation of the dollar.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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