Report
Patrick Artus

German government bonds are cornered

There is vigorous g lobal demand for risk-free assets, due to the high variability of financial markets and the increase in private savings, but Germany’s supply of risk-free government bonds is decreasing . Th is results in excess demand (German government bonds are cornered ), leading to persistently low equilibrium interest rates on these bonds. This situation has important implications: Demand for risk-free bonds shifts to other bonds in the euro zone, including those of countries that are less solid than Germany , such as France; Because the income effect is predominant , Germany’s household savings rate rises sharply; Eventually, investors will not be able to avoid returning to high-yielding risky financial assets: equities, High Yield corporate bonds.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis
Alicia Garcia Herrero ... (+2)
  • Alicia Garcia Herrero
  • Gary NG
Alicia Garcia Herrero ... (+2)
  • Alicia Garcia Herrero
  • Gary NG
Alicia Garcia Herrero ... (+3)
  • Alicia Garcia Herrero
  • Haoxin MU
  • Jianwei Xu

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch