Report
Patrick Artus

Germany has never had a cost-competitiveness advantage over the other euro-zone countries: Its external surplus does not result from a real undervaluation

It is often claimed that Germany benefits from a real undervaluation within the euro zone, hence its external surplus. This claim has led to calls for a sharp increase in wages in Germany. But in reality Germany has never had a cost - competitiveness advantage over the other euro-zone countries, neither in industry nor in services (which is important, as industry consumes a lot of services). So Germany’s external surplus does not result from strong cost competitiveness or a real undervaluation, but from other causes: Its high level of household savings; Its mostly restrictive fiscal policy; Non-cost competitiveness: innovation, corporate modernisation, product quality. The only available instrument to reduce Germany’s external surplus is therefore not wage increases but a more expansionary fiscal policy.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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