Report
Patrick Artus

Have the divergences of labour cost trends between euro-zone countries led to divergences in terms of inflation or profitability?

Since the 2008-2009 crisis , unit labour costs have fallen in Spain, risen sharply in Germany and Italy, and risen less markedly in France. If unit labour costs diverge between euro-zone countries, there may be two equilibria: An equilibrium where prices diverge, and where the countries where labour costs rise faster have a price competitiveness problem ; An equilibrium where prices do not diverge, but corporate profitability diverge s , and where companies in the countries where labour costs rise faster have a profitability problem, and therefore normally weak investment. We are seeing that: The unit labour cost divergences are found in the divergences between the GDP deflator s ; Moreover, profit margins and investment are declining in Italy.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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