How long does it take the equity market to forget a crisis?
We look at the profile of the equity market (in the United States and the euro zone) after a recession: The recovery in equity market indices is driven by an upswing in activity and earnings, and by more expansionary monetary policies; But companies may be more indebted, and therefore more fragile, and the high volatility of share prices during the crisis may lead to a lasting rise in equity risk aversion and equity risk premia. In total, we see after crises: Most often that equity market indices are persistently lower than their pre-crisis levels; With the exception of the United States after the 2008-2009 crisis, when the market returned to the pre-crisis level levels from 2013. PERs never return to the level of the 1999-2000 stock market bubble, but after the 2008-2009 crisis they quickly returned to their pre-crisis levels.