Report
Patrick Artus

How should we interpret the rise in the global debt ratio?

The world’s total debt ratio has risen considerably, which is worrying since the risk of borrower defaults may also have risen. But what may account for the rise in the global total debt ratio? Two very different developments: The parallel increase in savings (in the financing capacity of lending economic agents) and investment (in the financing requirement of borrowing economic agents), which is not a worrying development; The increase in debt leverage (debt relative to equity) for borrowing economic agents, which is a worrying development, which may be linked to the fall in the cost of debt. We see that the first explanation (parallel increase in savings and in investment) seems to be the right one. The rise in the global debt ratio is therefore perhaps not so worrying.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch