Report
Patrick Artus

How will the valuation gap between US and European equities correct?

An observation of long-term growth and long-term interest rates shows that the gap between the valuation s (PERs) of US and euro-zone equities is not justified. It results from higher aversion to equity risk when it comes to euro-zone equities. It is therefore reasonable to expect a correction of the valuation gap between US and European equities. But how will it take place? Via a fall in US share prices? Their overall valuation does not seem excessive: US potential growth should be revised upwards and labour costs are barely increasing, which renders a sharp correction unlikely; Via an increase in European share prices? This is more likely, due to investors’ excessive pessimism over the euro-zone economy, which is being boosted by a sizeable demand stimulus.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch