Report
Patrick Artus

If interest rates are lower than the real return on capital, we should normally expect a sharp increase in debt leverage

We are now in a situation where interest rates are lower that the return on real or financial capital ( companies’ ROACE or RoE , return on infrastructure, equities, private equity, real estate , etc. ). This ought to drive savers, investors and companies to increase their debt leverage sharply. However, the debt leverage is not increasing, which shows: Either high risk aversion; Or expectations of a rapid rise in interest rates.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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