Report
Patrick Artus

If the ECB ensures that yield spreads between euro-zone countries are completely rigid, it will de facto create eurobonds - but at the cost of the disappearance of market discipline

The ECB wants to avoid an abnormal rise in yield spreads between the peripheral euro-zone countries and Germany. If the announcement of ECB intervention to prevent these spreads from widening leads to rigid spreads (by eliminating the risk of speculation against peripheral countries), then: Peripheral countries' government bonds also become risk-free; If the yield spreads between the countries are stable, it can be considered that there is a single public debt in the euro zone, i.e. a eurobond; But rigid inter-country spreads in the euro zone will give rise to considerable moral hazard (the disappearance of market discipline): it encourages peripheral countries to conduct overly expansionary fiscal policies.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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