Report
Patrick Artus

In OECD countries, a public debt crisis can only be triggered by countries that do not control their interest rates, such as Italy

Since the crisis , the public debt ratio has risen in all the large OECD countries except Germany and Sweden . There is often concern about the risk of a public debt crisis breaking out. But central bank s have the ability to keep long- term interest rates lower than the growth rate, which prevents debt crises, or makes them possible only if central banks accept them , which is very unlikely . But there is an exception: the euro-zone countries that do not control their interest rates, since there is no national central bank . In Italy , the long- term interest rate has now risen above the growth rate , without the ECB being able to react, and there may be a debt crisis.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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