Report
Patrick Artus

In which countries is borrower solvency already a problem?

As long as interest rates are lower than the nominal growth rate, borrower solvency is easily ensured because income increases faster than the debt. Solvency constraints, which impose a minimum of savings, reappear as soon as the interest rate becomes higher than the growth rate. Most central banks are currently keeping interest rates very low; but are there countries where solvency constraints are appearing? This could be due either to a large risk premi um added to interest rates, or extremely low growth. This is currently the case only in Italy, due to a risk premium added to long-term interest rates, and extremely low growth.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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