Report
Patrick Artus

Is faster wage growth inevitable?

Faster wage growth (we look at the cases of the United States and the euro zone) would lead to permanently higher inflation and therefore to a significant rise in interest rates. Given the fall in the participation rate after the COVID crisis and companies’ hiring difficulties, one might say that significantly faster wage growth is inevitable. But it is not happening at present. It should not be forgotten that: Companies will defend their earnings and will not to accept a fall in their margins; Companies may respond to their hiring difficulties by raising their productivity and digitalising instead of increasing wages.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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