Report
Patrick Artus

Is inflation linked to money creation?

We often hear the following argument: the surge in inflation from 2021 to 2024 is linked to the growth in the money supply over this period. We do not believe in this theory: Money creation was very rapid from 2008 to 2019 without any inflation appearing; Money creation consisted in a substitution of money for bonds in the portfolios of banks and private sector economic agents; if money and bonds are highly substitutable, this substitution does not lead to a change in the economic equilibrium; Bond sellers are institutional investors, non-residents or affluent households who do not use the proceeds of these sales for consumption; Money creation coincided with strong growth in the United States and weak growth in the euro zone, without any significant difference in inflation rates; On the other hand, money creation is reflected in asset prices (equities, cryptocurrencies, gold, etc.), which corresponds to portfolio rebalancing behaviour.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch