Report
Patrick Artus

Is the euro zone’s monetary policy doomed to become increasingly expansionary?

The ECB did not exit its zero or negative interest-rate policy when the euro-zone economy allowed it (from the end of 2016 to mid-2018); moreover, a series of shocks (the cut s in the Federal Reserve’s interest rates from the summer of 2019, the industrial crisis in 2019 , the coronavirus in 2020) led the ECB to conduct an increasingly expansionary policy; lastly, some euro-zone countries ’ fiscal fragility prompted it to keep interest rates very low. Should we then expect euro-zone monetary policy to be increasingly expansionary forever ? The consequences of this development would be very serious: ruin for bond investors, asset price bubbles as soon as the economy improves and risk aversion declines, risk of flight from money, increasingly large capital outflows.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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