Report
Patrick Artus

Is "yield curve control" needed in the United States and the euro zone?

The Bank of Japan has switched to a "yield curve control" strategy: keeping long-term interest rates at around 0%. Some are starting to suggest that the Federal Reserve and the ECB should conduct the same policy. We think that would be a very bad idea. Zero long-term interest rates in the United States and the euro zone would: Lead to persistently negative real long-term interest rates; apart from periods when particular shocks appear, inflation is positive in the United States and the euro zone, while it is zero in Japan; Give rise to very large bubbles in all asset prices and huge wealth inequality; due to negative real interest rates and the need for very large bond purchases, the money supply would therefore grow markedly ; Eventually reduce the supply of bank credit by perpetually squeezing intermediation margins.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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