Italy’s fundamental situation is still deteriorating, yet investors are not worried about it. Why?
Italy’s fundamental situation ( potential growth , investment , weight of industry , structural unemployment ) is still deteriorating . Yet , financial markets (for example the BTP/Bund spread) are improving ; this can be explained by: The fact that the fiscal deficit remains quite low in Italy; The improvement in banks’ situation (decline in non-performing loans, announcement of another TLTRO). But can the improvement in financial markets persist if Italy’s fundamental economic situation continues to deteriorate ?