Global Forex Monitor - March 2026: CHF still bid despite SNB intervention warnings
The war between the US/Israel and Iran, which began on February 28, 2026, has triggered a global supply shock. The threat of closing the Strait of Hormuz has pushed Brent crude up to $84/b and TTF gas to 60 Eur/MWh, creating a stagflationary environment. This has resulted in a resurgence of risk aversion, penalizing both equity and bond markets, and favoring traditional safe-haven assets like gold and the dollar.Even before the war in Iran, the dollar was on the rise, supported by improving US growth and inflation persisting above the Fed's target. The conflict in Iran has accentuated its appr...