Report
Patrick Artus

Mario Draghi has declared that if the euro zone’s fiscal policies became more expansionary, euro interest rates could rise faster: What are we to make of this statement?

The ECB clearly believes that it would be better to have a more expansionary fiscal policy and a less expansionary monetary policy in the euro zone. Indeed, the euro zone’s policy mix is unbalanced, with an ultra-expansionary monetary policy and a slightly restrictive fiscal policy. But is it that easy to switch to a more balanced policy mix? Among the large euro-zone countries, the only country that can increase its fiscal deficit without any difficulty is Germany, and it is well known that this will be met with much resistance ; For the other major euro-zone countries to be able to increase their fiscal deficit, interest rates must remain very low in these countries, which runs counter to the idea that a switch to a more expansionary fiscal policy would pave the way for a rise in interest rates.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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