Report
Patrick Artus

Modern Monetary Theory: The model's limits in theory and practice

Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) is currently being applied in OECD countries: fiscal deficits are those that are deemed necessary whatever their size, and they are monetised by central banks to prevent crowding-out effects (rising interest rates). In theory, the limit of this policy is reached when inflation appears, and the fiscal deficit must then be reduced, but this is not a problem since inflation appears when the economy has returned to full employment and not before. But in practice, money creation leads to a rise in asset prices, not to a rise in goods and services prices. If fiscal and monetary expansion must be stopped when asset price inflation emerges, the question is whether this occurs - as in the case of goods price inflation - when the economy has returned to full employment, or much earlier. If asset price inflation appears before the return to full employment, then using Modern Monetary Theory is a problem. Yet this is the case, as asset prices accelerate well before the return to full employmen t .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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