OECD countries: The household savings rate must be prevented from rising
OECD countries currently face: Weak global trade (mainly as a result of the fall in Chinese imports), leading to weak exports; The weakness of industry, due to the stagnation in global demand for industrial products, leading to a fall in investment needs; The persistently modest level of household housing investment since the 2009 crisis . What may stimulate growth is therefore primarily household consumption, in particular of services. The risk then becomes a rise in the household savings rate, which can be seen clearly in Japan and could result from: Concern over future growth; Expectations of population ageing and a less generous pension system; The income effect arising from the very low interest rates.