Report
Patrick Artus

OECD: Economic policies are not at all countercyclical anymore: What is their new objective?

Traditionally, economic policies (fiscal and monetary) were countercyclical and would therefore become restrictive late in expansion periods. The objective of economic policies was then: For monetary policy, to combat inflation; For fiscal policy, to restore the leeway to act in the future and to avoid crowding-out effects that would reduce private sector spending. Today, economic policies remain stimulatory late in the expansion period, which, with regard to their objectives, suggests that: The idea is no longer to be able to react in the event of a recession. This is regrettable, unless one thinks that this strategy prevents recessions; For monetary policy, the idea is no longer to combat inflation, since full employment no longer brings back inflation; One new idea is that it is possible to prolong the expansion and increase potential growth by stimulating demand, even when the unemployment rate is low.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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