No volatility despite geopolitical risk
Geopolitical risk appears to be at the forefront of investors' minds, although it is not currently having a major impact on risky assets. The US administration has two weeks to decide whether to become directly involved in the conflict between Iran and Israel. Volatility remains contained, as evidenced by the relatively stable VIX, and oil prices continue to rise (+20% since early June, exceeding $75/b), though not yet soaring. Next week could bring more information, with the release of the June PMI figures. Geopolitically, all eyes will be on the NATO summit in The Hague. We would like to...