Precious moments
Investors took a more cautious stance this week amid an US shutdown, and a political crisis in France (and now in Japan). However, anomalies and discrepancies are rising: the gold rally has been joined by silver, but other asset classes - US dollar, inflation B/E, and term premiums – refused to join the now famous “debasement trade”.This hesitation may be linked to the other strong market theme: American exceptionalism and the AI race are playing at full speed. Caught between increasing bubble-like characteristics and the demonstrated ability of the Magnificent 7 to deliver, market vulnerabilities are rising ahead of the Q3 earnings season, which begins next week.Are we about to enter more dangerous times, or will the prevailing non-recession outlook continue to support risk assets?