Report
Patrick Artus

Preparing for crises in a way that does not kill growth

The euro zone, including France, has been hit by a series of crises: subprime crisis (2008-2009), euro-zone crisis (2010-2013), COVID crisis (2020). This will lead companies to prepare for the next crisis. The risk is that companies may prepare for crises in a way that destroys growth. For instance, they accumulate huge cash reserves, which protects them in the event of a recession, but kills growth as those cash reserves could have been invested. They could also opt for short-term employment contracts, which has not been the case since the subprime crisis. So there is a need to think up methods to cope with future crises that do not harm growth. The answer could involve f or example: The issuance of subordinated bonds that automatically convert into equity in recessions; The guarantee that short-time working schemes will be implemented in the event of a recession in the future.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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