Labor market treads water in a choppy sea

The employment report from April showed a labor market that continues to tread water, even if the sea is choppy. The better-than-expected payroll print reflect continued strength in specific sectors (hospitality and healthcare) and boost from transportation and warehousing, likely reflecting increased staffing needs to grapple with looming tariffs. Wednesday’s GDP report showed resilient domestic demand in Q1 and we think that businesses will be inclined to hoard labor and not cut staff until forced to do so – both factors will help near-term labor dynamics. However, the full effects of the...

Euro area April flash inflation: core inflation unexpectedly rose in April

Euro area headline flash inflation remained stable in April, at 2.2% Y/Y, slightly above market expectations. However, core inflation unexpectedly picked up to 2.7% from 2.4%, led by an increase in the services sector (3.9% from 3.5%, back to its January pace). Inflation for non-energy industrial goods remained unchanged at +0.6% for the third month in a row, while energy prices dropped again to -3.5% from -1.0% due to a sharp decrease in oil prices. Inflation increased markedly in the Netherlands (4.1% from 3.4% ) but the details are not available yet. This is too soon to say whether the in...

ドイツ：新政権は成長再点火の方策を見出せるのか