Report
Patrick Artus

Rapid money supply growth can lead economic agents to react in four possible ways

If a country’s central bank sharply increases the money supply, economic agents can react in four possible ways: By simply holding this additional money, which may happen in the short term if there is a high level of uncertainty and risk aversion; By immediately buying goods and services in the expectation that money will lose purchasing power (value) relative to goods and services. There would then be inflation in goods and services prices; By immediately buying assets other than the country’s currency (other countries’ currencies, loans, bonds, equities, gold, real estate) to hedge against a loss of this currency’s value relative to asset prices. There would then be exchange rate depreciation and inflation in asset prices; By buying nothing immediately (neither goods and services nor assets) but holding onto the money (as transaction currency) and later using it to finance purchases in a form that is not official, public or national currency - confidence in which has disappeared - but alternative private currencies (such as private cryptocurrencies). Public currencies would then disappear, leading to hyperinflation in goods and services and assets measured relative to public currencies and to a transfer of liquidity into private currencies .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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