Report
Patrick Artus

Rapid population ageing: What to expect?

The world is experiencing an acceleration of population ageing, affecting more and more regions. It is therefore important to consider the consequences of this situation: In theory, it gives rise to inflation and drives down the savings rate, resulting in higher nominal and real interest rates. The example of Japan shows that this is not certain: older people continue to save; labour market flexibility prevents wages from accelerating. Higher productivity gains are also expected in theory, yet this has not happened in Japan either; The capital requirement will be lower, driving down the net investment rate (and normally also preventing a situation of savings shortfall). However, it is possible that rising consumption of fixed capital (the declining life of capital) may reduce the fall in gross investment; Strong pressure on public finances, due to increased spending on health care and pensions. In countries with weak social welfare , households may worry and save more, which is the opposite of the trend expected.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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