Natixis - Rate cut expectations revised post publication of US growth and inflation data

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Natixis

Rate cut expectations revised post publication of US growth and inflation data

25/04/2024 1 EN

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Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

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Cyril Regnat

Cyril Regnat

EUR 2Y-5Y steepener

Both the 2Y-5Y and 2Y-10Y segments of the swap curve have been recovering since late March . We believe the steepening in the 2Y-5Y segment will continue ahead as the ECB cuts rates more aggressively while the 5Y suffers from the EZ economic recovery. We will enter at -43bp (vs ER6m) , setting the target and stop of the strategy at respectively -25pb and -50pb. The horizon of the strategy will be 3 months. The carry & roll-down of the strategy is positive with a cumulated 10.5bp protection over 3 months (forward value at -39bp).

7h / 26m 7h / 26m 1 EN

A welcomed slowdown in job creations

May 3, 2024 May 3, 2024 1 EN

Un ralentissement bienvenu des créations d’emploi

May 3, 2024 May 3, 2024 1 FR

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Rate cut expectations revised post publication of US growth and inflation data

EUR 2Y-5Y steepener

A welcomed slowdown in job creations

Un ralentissement bienvenu des créations d’emploi

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