Report
Patrick Artus

Reducing the public debt ratio after the Second World War and today

OECD countries’ public debt ratios have now returned to post-World War II levels , so it is interesting to look at how the public debt ratio was reduced after World War II and how it is envisaged to be reduced today. The differences seem to be: The current use of central bank purchases of government bonds, i.e. monetisation of public debt ; The use of primary fiscal surpluses after the Second World War, which is unlikely today; The way in which nominal interest rates that are lower than nominal growth are obtained: after the Second World War, through inflation without any reaction from central banks; currently through very low nominal interest rates relative to nominal growth, but without inflation; The pace of reduction in the public debt ratio, which is now much slower in the absence of inflation and due to lasting public spending needs.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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