Natixis - Risk of recession in the United States: What is different from 2007?

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Natixis

Patrick Artus

Risk of recession in the United States: What is different from 2007?

Some forecasters are currently predicting slow growth or even a recession in the United States. Since we do not believe in a recession in the United States, we should therefore show what is different from 2007 and currently protects against a recession. We look at: Exports and industry; Corporate earnings, investment and solvency; Interest rates and household housing investment and solvency; Fiscal policy ; Participation and employment rates; Inflation and the real wage. All these factors were recessionary in 2006-2007; currently, only the weakness of industry and corporate investment are recessionary.

19/01/2020 6 EN

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Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

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Analysts

Patrick Artus

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Risk of recession in the United States: What is different from 2007?

ポーランドとルーマニアの大統領選挙：中欧は親 EU にとどまるのか

Biggest one-day fall by S&P 500 in a month, 30Y TBond yield above 5% for first time since 2023

Radical Novelties in Critical Technologies and Spillovers: How Do China, the US and the EU Fare?

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