Report

Short Mar24 Euribor

Despite the overall dovish tone of the ECB’s last decision, we think the market remains ahead of itself, when it comes to the pricing of rate cuts in the first half of 2024. We are willing to test investors’ stubbornness with a short Mar24 Euribor futures, as we think market pricing should reflect more from ECB unambiguous communication and some fundamental reason s behind our call for a first rate cut only in June. We go short at 96.35 5 and we take profit at 96.1 ( i.e. an implied forward Euribor at 3.90%) in a 2-month horizon. We stop loss at 96.4 8 .
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Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

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