Report
Patrick Artus

Thanks to the very low interest rates in OECD countries, everyone is solvent despite high debt ratios, which makes recessions very unlikely

Interest rates are now extremely low relative to growth in OECD countries. This means that despite the high debt ratios, governments, households and companies are solvent. The only exceptions (economic agents that are not solvent despite the low interest rates) are the governments in Italy and Japan, households in Spain and companies in the United Kingdom, but with a small loss of solvency. This solvency among practically all economic agents despite the high debt ratios makes recessions very unlikely, because they are triggered by the insolvency of a group of economic agents, who must then markedly reduce their demand for goods and services.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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