Report
Patrick Artus

The central role of the relative levels of interest rates (including risk premia) and nominal growth, and the unique case of High Yield

We begin by comparing interest rates (including the risk premium corresponding to each borrower class) and nominal growth in the United States and the euro zone. The interest rate (including the risk premium) is lower than the nominal growth rate in the cases of government bonds and Investment Grade bonds: these issuers’ debt ratios decline spontaneously and their solvency is easy to obtain. In contrast, the interest rate (including the risk premium) is higher than the nominal growth rate for High Yield bonds: High Yield borrowers are therefore more vulnerable, as they have to maintain a high level of profitability to remain solvent.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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