Report
Patrick Artus

The conflict between governments and the private sector over access to savings as a result of more restrictive monetary policies

We will use the example of the euro zone. Long-term interest rates are going to rise and the ECB will stop buying bonds. This may trigger a major conflict over access to savings between governments and the private sector: Governments need to finance fiscal deficits that will remain high at a time when the ECB stops buying government bonds; The private sector also needs to invest more: energy transition, financing the industries of the future. If long-term interest rates rise sufficiently, government bonds will become attractive again for investors, which could lead to a shift in savings from financial assets that finance the private sector to government bonds, and a crowding-out of private sector investment.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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