Report
Patrick Artus

The economic policy choices currently being made in the OECD will reduce its long-term growth

OECD countries are currently choosing to: Reduce the risk of recession by conducting highly expansionary fiscal and monetary policies, which is made possible by the absence of inflation even at full employment; Try to reduce inequality by keeping industrial production in the vicinity of the end-buyers of goods and by trying to repatriate production to OECD countries. These choice s are reducing the risk of recession in the short term and the risk of losing skilled jobs. But i t has to be pointed out that the cost of these choice s is that they will reduce long-term growth in the OECD, as there will be: A misallocation of savings (to inefficient investments and companies and to current fiscal deficits); Hardship for savers and future pensioners, which will structurally reduce demand; Reduced international specialisation and use of countries’ comparative advantages, with all this leading to a slowdown in both supply and demand for goods and services in the long term. The price to pay to avoid recessions and inequality is therefore a less efficient economy.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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