Report
Patrick Artus

The effect of expansionary fiscal policies on interest rates has changed sign

An expansionary fiscal policy traditionally led to a rise in short-term interest rates (as the central bank reacted to the stimulation of demand) and also in long-term interest rates (as a result of the central bank's policy and crowding-out effects). But nowadays, the effect of an expansionary fiscal policy on interest rates has changed: it has become negative. This illustrates the changing nature of the relationship between fiscal and monetary policy. There has been a shift: From monetary policy dominance, which "punished" fiscal deficits by raising interest rates; To fiscal policy dominance ("fiscal dominance") which forces central banks to maintain governments' fiscal solvency despite their expansionary fiscal policies .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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