Report

The expected determinants of the real long-term interest rate

The real long-term interest rate is expected to be equal to: Real long-term growth (potential growth); Plus a risk premium linked to interest rate volatility; And a premium if savings fall short of investment. When comparing this estimate of the real long-term interest rate with the actual real long-term interest rate, we see that the current level of the real interest rate is significantly lower than this estimate, both in the United States and in the euro zone.
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Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

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